{"id":789,"date":"2024-04-01T02:23:49","date_gmt":"2024-04-01T06:23:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/?p=789"},"modified":"2024-04-01T02:23:49","modified_gmt":"2024-04-01T06:23:49","slug":"will-the-feds-decisions-in-coming-months-impact-the-2024-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/2024\/04\/01\/will-the-feds-decisions-in-coming-months-impact-the-2024-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Will the Fed\u2019s Decisions in Coming Months Impact the 2024 Election?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tensions and variability regarding the 2024 presidential election this coming November conti<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">nue to rise, with political uncertainty being exacerbated by the unpredictable economic landscape. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/01\/04\/1222756097\/republican-candidates-economy-inflation-social-security\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to NPR<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Republican voters blame Democratic President Biden for a weak economy, inflation, an increased cost of living, and a fiercely competitive job market. As stated by<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/politics\/6-in-10-americans-think-the-economy-is-not-ok-right-now\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> PBS<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a poll showed that 30% of Americans, particularly white men, Republicans, and dependents w<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ill be voting in November with inflation as their top priority.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While inflation encompasses countless factors beyond the actions of monetary policy, its criticisms aimed at President Biden are largely misdirected, as maintaining a stable price level and full employment via the Fed Funds rate and minimum reserve requirements is the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, a politically independent government agency.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a response to easing inflationary pressures and an optimistic economic outlook post-2022-2023 Fed rate hikes, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-powell-inflation-prices-rates-cuts-e2d17c4ef6502e95d52f78759fa512b4\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fed chairman Gerome Powell indicated in an interview<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that the Fed hopes to cut interest rates from the current rate of 5.25%-5.50% 3 times this year, starting in May. If the Fed cuts rates too soon, inflation will rise, however, if rates are cut too late, unemployment will rise, revealing the dilemma that the central bank is facing. According to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/fingfx.thomsonreuters.com\/gfx\/editorcharts\/USA-FED\/0H001QXPQ9X0\/index.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reuters<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, \u201c<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Fed has moved rates in 11 of the 12 presidential election years since 1972. The moves have been in both directions, and show no connection with whether the party in power switched or stayed the same.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, the Fed will not change its behavior this year as a result of the election, though many Americans may change their voting behavior based on inflation as a result of the Fed\u2019s actions. The interplay of these dynamics is contradictory and a result of widespread political illiteracy and misinformation. In an article from the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/economy\/central-banking\/fed-interest-rate-cuts-election-2024-843cc25a\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wall Street Journal<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> titled, \u201cPowell Navigates \u2018Toxic\u2019 Politics of Rate Cuts,<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201d Nick Tamaraos explains that allies of former President, and current Republican front-running nominee, Donald Trump argue that the Federal Reserve signals upcoming rate cuts as a means to support President Biden\u2019s candidacy in the upcoming election, which is objectively false.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is extremely concerning and discouraging that misinformation regarding the central bank\u2019s priorities is introducing political interference and bias into the election. In a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/coloradonewsline.com\/2021\/07\/28\/literacy-rates-are-falling-and-democrats-could-lose-big\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">political commentary piece<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, scientist Trish Zornio explains that using political illiteracy as a tool to win over voters has been a recent tool of the Republican party, in which \u201cFacts have become partisan,\u201d as we can currently see with the insinuation of the Fed as a democratic organization. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tensions and variability regarding the 2024 presidential election this coming November continue to rise, with political uncertainty being exacerbated by the unpredictable economic landscape. According to NPR, Republican voters blame Democratic President Biden for a weak economy, inflation, an increased cost of living, and a fiercely competitive job market. As stated by PBS, a poll [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23040,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[11],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/789"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23040"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=789"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/789\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":790,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/789\/revisions\/790"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=789"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=789"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/uea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=789"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}