{"id":1147,"date":"2018-01-28T15:35:51","date_gmt":"2018-01-28T19:35:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/?p=1147"},"modified":"2018-10-03T14:08:36","modified_gmt":"2018-10-03T18:08:36","slug":"ai-and-jobs-the-role-of-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/2018\/01\/28\/ai-and-jobs-the-role-of-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"AI and Jobs: The Role of Demand"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>James Bessen<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies will automate many jobs, but the effect on employment is not obvious. In manufacturing, technology has sharply reduced jobs in recent decades. But before that, for over a century, employment grew, even in industries experiencing rapid technological change. What changed? Demand was highly elastic at first and then became inelastic. The effect of artificial intelligence on jobs will similarly depend critically on the nature of demand. This paper presents a simple model of demand that accurately predicts the rise and fall of employment in the textile, steel and automotive industries. This model provides a useful framework for exploring how AI is likely to affect jobs over the next 10 or 20 years.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w24235\">NBER Working Paper<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>James Bessen <\/p>\n<p>Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies will automate many jobs, but the effect on employment is not obvious. Although technology has sharply reduced jobs in manufacturing in recent decades, for over a century before that, employment grew, even in industries experiencing rapid technological change. This paper presents a simple model of the change in demand that accurately predicts the rise and fall of employment in the textile, steel and automotive industries, and will be useful for exploring how AI is likely to affect jobs over the next 10 or 20 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11401,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[16,20],"tags":[3,4,22,8],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1147"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11401"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1147"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1147\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1149,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1147\/revisions\/1149"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.bu.edu\/tpri\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}