Publications

Up-to-date information about the lab’s publications is also available via Google Scholar.

Preprints

Chakravarty, S., Do, Q., Li, Y., Tager-Flusberg, H., McGuire, J.T., & Scott, B.B. (2026, under review). Altered perceptual integration and learning in autism revealed by games inspired by rodent operant tasks. bioRxiv preprint: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.05.06.652509

Do, Q., Ahn, C., Bakst, L., Pascale, M., McGuire, J.T., Stern, C.E., & Hasselmo, M.E. (2025). From priors to predictions: Explaining and visualizing human reasoning in a graph neural network framework. ArXiv preprint. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2512.17255

Possidente, T., Tripathi, V., McGuire, J.T., & Somers, D.C. (2025). Interactions between sensory-biased and supramodal working memory networks in the human cerebral cortex. BioArXiv preprint. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.07.17.665351

Chen, Y., Li, T., Lynch, J.D., & McGuire, J.T. (2024). A reinforcement learning model of adaptive persistence. PsyArXiv preprint. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/37r58

2025

Bloem, I.M.*, Bakst, L.*, McGuire, J.T., & Ling, S. (2025). Dynamic estimation of the attentional field from visual cortical activity. eLife, 14, RP104222. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.104222.3

Pan, J., Vinke, L.N., McGuire, J.T., & Ling, S. (2025). Heterogeneous effects of cognitive arousal on the contrast response in human visual cortex. Journal of Neuroscience, 45(25), e0798242025. https://doi.org/10.1523/JNEUROSCI.0798-24.2025

van Geen, C., Chen, Y., Kazinka, R., Vaidya, A.R., Kable, J.W., & McGuire, J.T. (2025). Lesions to different regions of frontal cortex have dissociable effects on voluntary persistence. Journal of Neuroscience, 45(6), e0068242024. https://doi.org/10.1523/JNEUROSCI.0068-24.2024

2024

Pan, J., Sun, X., Park, E., Kaufmann, M., Klimova, M., McGuire, J.T., & Ling, S. (2024). The effects of emotional arousal on pupil size depend on luminance. Scientific Reports, 14, 21895. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-70895-5

2023

Lempert, K.M., Schaefer, L., Breslow, D., Peterson, T.D., Kable, J.W., & McGuire, J.T. (2023). Statistical information about reward timing is insufficient for promoting optimal persistence decisions. Cognition, 237, 105468. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2023.105468

Bakst, L. & McGuire, J.T. (2023). Experience-driven recalibration of learning from surprising events. Cognition, 232, 105343. doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2022.105343

Do, Q., Li, Y., Kane, G.A., McGuire, J.T., & Scott, B.B. (2023). Assessing evidence accumulation and rule learning in humans with an online game. Journal of Neurophysiology, 129, 131–143. doi:10.1152/jn.00124.2022

2022

Chen, Y., Fulford, D., & McGuire, J.T. (2022). Test-retest reliability of task-based measures of voluntary persistence. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, 44. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/43x847k7

Pan, J., Klimova, M., McGuire, J.T., & Ling, S. (2022). Arousal-based pupil modulation is dictated by luminance. Scientific Reports, 12, 1390. doi:10.1038/s41598-022-05280-1

Toro-Serey, C., Kane, G.A., & McGuire, J.T. (2022). Choices favoring cognitive effort in a foraging environment decrease when multiple forms of effort and delay are interleaved. Cognitive, Affective, & Behavioral Neuroscience, 22, 509–532. doi:10.3758/s13415-021-00972-z

2021

Morin, T.M., Chang, A.E., Ma, W., McGuire, J.T., & Stern, C.E. (2021). Dynamic network analysis demonstrates the formation of stable functional networks during rule learning. Cerebral Cortex, 252–293. doi:10.1093/cercor/bhab175

Bakst, L., & McGuire, J.T. (2021). Eye movements reflect adaptive predictions and predictive precision. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 150, 915–929. doi:10.1037/xge0000977

2020 & earlier

Botvinik-Nezer, R., Holzmeister, F., Camerer, C., Dreber, A., Huber, J., Johannesson, M., … & Schonberg, T. (2020). Variability in the analysis of a single neuroimaging dataset by many teams. Nature, 582, 84–88. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2314-9

Babcock S., Howard M.W., & McGuire J.T. (2020). Time-conjunctive representations of future events. Memory & Cognition, 38, 672–682. doi:10.3758/s13421-019-00999-1

Kao, C.-H., Khambhati, A.N., Bassett, D.S., Nassar, M.R., McGuire, J.T., Gold, J.I., & Kable, J.W. (2020). Functional brain network reconfiguration during learning in a dynamic environment. Nature Communications, 11, 1682. doi:10.1038/s41467-020-15442-2

Toro-Serey, C., Tobyne, S.M., & McGuire, J.T. (2020). Spectral partitioning identifies individual heterogeneity in the functional network topography of ventral and anterior medial prefrontal cortex. NeuroImage, 205, 116305. doi:10.1016/j.neuroimage.2019.116305

Nassar, M.R., McGuire, J.T., Ritz, H., & Kable, J.W. (2019). Dissociable forms of uncertainty-driven representational change across the human brain. Journal of Neuroscience, 39, 1688–1698. doi:10.1523/JNEUROSCI.1713-18.2018

Lempert, K.M., McGuire, J.T., Hazeltine, D.B., Phelps, E.A., & Kable, J.W. (2018). The effects of acute stress on the calibration of persistence. Neurobiology of Stress, 8, 1–9. doi:10.1016/j.ynstr.2017.11.001

McGuire, J.T., & Kable, J.W. (2016). Deciding to curtail persistence. In K. D. Vohs & R. F. Baumeister (Eds.), Handbook of Self-Regulation: Research, Theory, and Applications (pp. 533–546). Guilford.

Krastev, S., McGuire, J.T., McNeney, D., Kable, J.W., Stolle, D., Gidengil, E., & Fellows, L.K. (2016). Do political and economic choices rely on common neural substrates? A systematic review of the emerging neuropolitics literature. Frontiers in Psychology, 7, 264. doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2016.00264

McGuire, J.T., & Kable, J.W. (2015). Medial prefrontal cortical activity reflects dynamic re-evaluation during voluntary persistence. Nature Neuroscience, 18, 760–766. doi:10.1038/nn.3994

McGuire, J.T.,* Nassar, M.R.,* Gold, J.I., & Kable, J.W. (2014). Functionally dissociable influences on learning rate in a dynamic environment. Neuron, 84, 870-881. doi:10.1016/j.neuron.2014.10.013

McGuire, J.T. & Kable, J.W. (2014). Go means green. Nature Neuroscience, 17, 489-490. doi:10.1038/nn.3680

News & Views commentary on this paper by Tom Schonberg, Akram Bakkour, and colleagues.

Kool, W., McGuire, J.T., Wang, G.J., & Botvinick, M.M. (2013). Neural and behavioral evidence for an intrinsic cost of self-control. PLoS ONE, 8, e72626. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0072626

Bartra, O.,* McGuire, J.T.,* & Kable, J.W.* (2013). The valuation system: A coordinate-based meta-analysis of BOLD fMRI experiments examining neural correlates of subjective value. NeuroImage, 76, 412–427. doi:10.1016/j.neuroimage.2013.02.063

McGuire, J.T., & Kable, J.W. (2013). Rational temporal predictions can underlie apparent failures to delay gratification. Psychological Review, 120, 395–410. doi:10.1037/a0031910

McGuire, J.T., Cohen, J.D., & Botvinick, M.M. (2013). Mental effort. In H. Pashler (Ed.), Encyclopedia of the Mind (pp. 502–506). Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications. doi:10.4135/9781452257044.n186

McGuire, J.T., & Kable, J.W. (2012). Decision makers calibrate behavioral persistence on the basis of time-interval experience. Cognition, 124, 216–226. doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2012.03.008

Ribas-Fernandes, J.J.F., Solway, A., Diuk, C., McGuire, J.T., Barto, A.G., Niv, Y., & Botvinick, M.M. (2011). A neural signature of hierarchical reinforcement learning. Neuron, 71, 370–379. doi:10.1016/j.neuron.2011.05.042

Kool, W.,* McGuire, J.T.,* Rosen, Z.B., & Botvinick, M.M. (2010). Decision making and the avoidance of cognitive demand. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 139, 665–682. doi:10.1037/a0020198

McGuire, J.T., & Botvinick, M.M. (2010). Prefrontal cortex, cognitive control, and the registration of decision costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 7922–7926. doi:10.1073/pnas.0910662107

McGuire, J.T., & Botvinick, M.M. (2010). The impact of anticipated cognitive demand on attention and behavioral choice. In B. Bruya (Ed.), Effortless attention: A new perspective in the cognitive science of attention and action (pp. 103–120). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Botvinick, M.M., Huffstetler, S., & McGuire, J.T. (2009). Effort discounting in human nucleus accumbens. Cognitive, Affective, & Behavioral Neuroscience, 9, 16–27. doi:10.3758/CABN.9.1.16

Mitchell, K.J., Raye, C.L., McGuire, J.T., Frankel, H., Greene, E.J., & Johnson, M.K. (2008). Neuroimaging evidence for agenda-dependent monitoring of different features during short-term source memory tests. Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 34, 780–790. doi:10.1037/0278-7393.34.4.780

Johnson, M.K., Mitchell, K.J., Raye, C.L., McGuire, J.T., & Sanislow, C.A. (2006). Mental rubbernecking to negative information depends on task context. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 13, 614–618. doi:10.3758/BF03193971

* denotes equal contribution.